| 2005 |
 | "Does California Have A Rational Housing Policy?"
Speech presented at the Fisher Center Real Estate Symposium in San Francisco on November 16, 2005
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| 2004 |
| "Some Aspects Of The Real Estate Outlook"
Speech Presented at the Appraisal Institute in Washington D.C. on December 13, 2004
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| "The Challenges Of Congestion In Regional Transportation"
Speech Presented at the Wagner Rudin Center of New York University, New York, New York, November 16, 2004
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| "Why More Growth Would Be Good For Connecticut"
Speech Presented to Connecticut Partnership for Balanced Growth, Hartford, Connecticut, September 23, 2004
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| "The Outlook For Real Estate Finance"
Speech Presented to International Council of Shopping Centers, New York, New York, September 21, 2004
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| "Why Traffic Congestion Is Here To Stay, And Will Get Worse"
This speech was delivered on June 14, 2004, at a briefing introducing Anthony Downs's new book, STILL STUCK IN TRAFFIC. The speech summarizes the main points in the new book, which is a greatly expanded revision of his earlier book (1992) STUCK IN TRAFFIC.
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| "The Outlook For Housing and Mortage Lending"
Speech Presented to Fidelity National Financial LSI Emerging Trends Conference in Dallas, Texas, on May 26, 2004
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| "The Costs of Sprawl Revisited"
Speech presented at the ULI District Council Meeting in Washington D.C. on April 15, 2004
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| "Transportation and Downtown Baltimore"
Speech presented on traffic and downtowns at the Partnership for Downtown Baltimore meeting in Baltimore, February 3, 2004
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| 2003 |
| "The Outlook For Real Estate Markets"
Speech presented to the Counselors of Real Estate at their 50th Anniversary Convention in Miami on November 17, 2003
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| "Growth Management, Smart Growth, And Affordable Housing"
Keynote speech given at Brookings Symposium on the Relationship Between Affordable Housing and Growth Management (including Smart Growth), at Brookings, May 29, 2003.
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| "The Outlook For Real Estate Markets"
Speech presented to the International Council of the Urban Land Institute (ULI) at the ULI Meeting in Baltimore, Maryland, on May 8, 2003
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| "The Impacts Of Smart Growth Upon The Economy"
Speech presented at a Land Use Instiute of the New Jersey Institute for Continuing Legal Eduction in New Brunswick, New Jersey, on April 30, 2003
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| "Why Florida's Concurrency Principle For Controlling New Development By Regulating Road Construction Does Not - And Cannot - Work Effectively"
Published in the Eno Transportation Foundation's Transportation Quarterly, Winter 2003, pp. 13-17
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| 2002 |
| "Creating More Affordable Housing in the Washington Region"
Speech given to the Washington Area Council of Governments Symposium on Affordable Housing at the National Press Club on November 22, 2002.
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| "How To Get More Affordable Housing Built"
Speech given at the Center for Real Estate of Massachusetts Institute of Technology on November 7, 2002.
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| "Local Regulations And Housing Affordability"
Speech at the Massachusetts Institute
of Technology in Cambridge, Massachusetts on October 7, 2002.
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| "Traffic Congestion in Global Cities"
Address made by Anthony Downs Harvard Conference on Global Cities on September 6, 2002.
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| "Have Housing Prices Risen Faster in Portland Than Elsewhere?"
As It Appeared in Fannie Mae Foundation's Housing Policy Debate (Volume 13 Issue 1)
|
| "Overrating the Rush Hour: Traffic tie-ups are still far from intolerable for residents in many regions in the United States, according to a travel time index."
As It Appeared in the July 2002 edition of Govering Magazine
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| "Some Lessons Learned In 50 Years Of Experience"
Address made by Anthony Downs at the 50th Reunion of
Carleton College's Class of 1952 to his class and all other reunion classes
attending the Reunion Weekend, June 21, 2002, in Northfield Minnesota. For
this one time only, references to the jokes told are included in the text,
but in abbreviated form so that stealing those jokes would be difficult for
people who were not there.
|
| "A Truth Story"
Short address made by Anthony Downs at Carleton
College's 128th Annual Commencement in Northfield, Minnesota, on June 15,
2002, on the occasion of his being awarded an Honorary Doctor of Laws Degree.
The address was entitled 'A Truth Story'
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| "The Real Estate Outlook"
Edited version of a speech presented to Prudential Real
Estate at Pinehurst, North Carolina, on May 14, 2002
|
| "Some Like It HOT: High-occupancy toll lanes work best on high-traffic roads. Without congestion, drivers have little incentive to pay the toll"
As It Appeared in the May 2002 edition of Govering Magazine
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| "Testimony On Peak-Hour Traffic Congestion"
Testimony before the Senate Committee on the Environment and Public Works, March 19, 2002
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| "How Real Are Transit Gains?"
As It Appeared in the March 2002 edition of Govering Magazine
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| An Approach To Analyzing The Impacts Of "Smart Growth" Upon Economic Development
As it appeared in American Economic Development Council's Economic Development Review Volume 17 Issue 4: Economic Development and 'SMART' Growth
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| Attacking The Housing Affordability Problem
Unsolicited paper has been prepared for the Millennial Housing Commission.
|
| Up And Down With Ecology: The "Issue-Attention Cycle"
Although this article was originally written thirty years ago, the basic idea
of the "issue-attention cycle" remains valid today. This article originally appeared in The Public Interest, Volume 28 (Summer 1972), pp. 38-50. It was most recently republished in Anthony Downs, Political Theory and Public Choice (Northampton, Mass.: Edward Elgar, 1998), pp. 100-112. It has been
reprinted in numerous sources since its original publication. Because several visitors to this website have requested copies of the original article, I scanned the article from an original copy and have made it downloadable in this section of the website.
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| "Can Transit Tame Sprawl?"
This article appeared in the January 2002 edition of Governing Magazine
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| 2001
|
| "Conflicts Between Smart Growth And Housing Affordability"
Edited version of a speech presented at the annual convention of the Association of Collegiate Schools of Planning in Cleveland, Ohio, on November 8, 2001
|
| "Some Issues Real Estate Students Should Know"
Speech presented in Baltimore,
Maryland, on October 18, 2001, at the 10th Anniversary Dinner for the Johns
Hopkins Real Estate School. The subject consists of important current trends
in real estate that students and practitioners need to know about as they
look ahead five years into the future.
|
| "Regulatory Barriers, Homeownership, and Smart Growth"
Speech presented to the Fannie
Mae Housing Conference in Washington on Wednesday, October 3, 2001. It
discusses why regulatory barriers to affordable housing have become greater
recently than they were when the Kemp Commission published its report on that
subject in 1991.
|
| "Smart Growth and the Future of Broward County"
Speech given to the Broward County Commissioners on the relationship between the basic elements of "Smart Growth" and future growth challenges within Broward County. Broward County is uniquely hemmed in by the Everglades on the West and the Atlantic Ocean on the east; and it will run out of vacant developable land by about 2010. Yet its population rose by 360,000 in the 1990s and may keep on growing rapidly. This means future growth can only be
accommodated through redevelopment and by growing up, not out. The speech explores the implications of this situation.
|
| "A Future Growth Strategy for the Hartford Region"
Speech given by Anthony Downs to the Connecticut Capitol Region Growth Council on June 6, 2001, describing the current and likely future situation of the Hartford Region, its major assets and problems, and the policies it should adopt to confront those problems effectively.
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| "A Look at the Baltimore Region's Future"
Speech presented to the Baltimore Regional Transportation Board May 15, 2001
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| "What Does 'Smart Growth' Really Mean?"
This article appeared in the April 2001 issue of the American Planning Association's Planning Magazine. It discusses how different groups differently define the concept of "Smart Growth" and shows to what extent they agree and disagree with each other.
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| "Coping With Nearly Insoluable Problems"
Speech presented to the Economic Research Associates at Wye Plantation April 28, 2001
(PDF 41 kb)
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| "Where Are We In the Current Real Estate Cycle"
Edited version of the first half of a speech presented at the University of California at Berkeley Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics Advisory Board Meeting in Pebble Beach, California, on April 6, 2001 (PDF 48 kb)
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| "Nimbyism and the Future of California"
Edited version of the second half of a speech presented at the University of California at Berkeley Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics Advisory Board Meeting in Pebble Beach, California, on April 6, 2001 (PDF 61 kb)
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| "The Future of U.S. Ground Transportation from 2000 to 2020"
Testimony to the United States House Subcommittee on Highways and Transit of the Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, March 22, 2001
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| "How the Phoenix Region Might Cope With Rapid Growth"
Speech Before the Maricopa Association of Governments, February 22, 2001
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| "Might as Well Enjoy It!"
Op-Ed Appeared in the Washington Post January 1, 2001
This op-ed argues that congestion is here to stay - so we "Might as Well Enjoy It"
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| 2000
|
| "A Look at the Future of Ground Transportation"
Speech given to the Ohio Transporation Engineering Conference, October 31, 2000
This speech analyzes major future trends in ground transportation with emphasis upon what will happen in Ohio, which is a relatively slow-growth state.
|
| "Dealing Effectively With Fast Growth "
A Brookings Institution Policy Brief, October 2000
This article analyzes two voter growth-management initiatives in Colorado and Arizona. It discusses their new anti-growth strategy, the parochial motives this strategy relies upon, why some growth is desirable, and some alternative policies that might work, and conclusions.
|
| "Housing Policies in the New Millenium"
Speech given to the HUD conference on Housing Policies for the Millennium October 3, 2000
An analysis of the most important factors influencing what Anthony Downs believes should
be the federal government's future housing policies, plus his description of the most important such policies.
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| "A Look at the Future of Ground Transportation"
Text of a speech presented to the Seattle Department of Transportation Conference, September 26, 2000 (PDF 61 kb)
|
| "Suburban Sprawl, Urban Decline, and Smart Growth"
Text of a speech presented to the Maryland Chapter of the National Association of Homebuilders in Baltimore on September 21, 2000 (PDF 60 kb)
This speech argues that the American metropolitan growth process in general does aggravate urban decline in many larger, older cities, but that suburban sprawl - which is one particular form of growth - does not. It points out that three groups use the term "smart growth" to mean different things, and discusses the ideas that each group associates with "smart growth."
|
| "Why California Is Generating Large-Scale Slums,"
Edited Version of a Speech Given at the ULI District Council Conference in Los Angeles, June 7, 2000. (PDF 86 kb)
This article analyzes California’s spectacular population growth and some of its adverse consequences. It argues that slum expansion is inevitable in California because high housing prices there make it impossible for many poor residents to occupy "decent" units without overcrowding.
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| "REIT Share Prices and the Declining Relative Importance of Commercial Real Estate," Wharton Real Estate Review, Volume 4, Number 1 Spring 2000, pp. 13-18. (PDF 28 kb)
This article discusses the declining relative importance of commercial property overall within the asset structure of the U.S. economy.
|
| "Notes on a Trip To Egypt In January 2000,"
January 2000. (PDF 61kb)
These notes chronicle a two-week trip in Cairo and down the Nile by Tony Downs and his wife sponsored by Stanford University.
|
| "How City Planning Practices Affect Metropolitan-Area Housing Markets, and Vice Versa," in Lloyd Rodwin and Bishwapriya Sanyal, Editors, The Profession of City Planning, (New Brunswick: Center for Urban Policy Research, 2000), pp. 117-127. (PDF 41 kb)
This article examines why metropolitan housing markets should be considered as a single dynamic system involving neighborhood life-cycles and a regional socio-economic hierarchy of neighborhoods, and how a whole panoply of social costs arise because planners and government officials fail to take this systemic perspective into account.
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| 1999
|
| "Some Realities About Sprawl and Urban Decline,"
Housing Policy Debate, Volume 10, Issue 4, October 1999, pp. (PDF 129 kb)
This article differentiates suburban sprawl from the broader American metropolitan area growth process and discusses how to cope with problems that are generated by sprawl.
|
| "Dramatic Trends in California's Population,"
July 1999. (PDF 11 kb)
This column presents data showing that in the 1990s California net exported about two million mostly-middle class people to the rest of the U.S., while net importing about two million heavily poor people from abroad. As a result, the poverty rate rose in California. After 2000, California’s net exporting of people to the rest of the nation is likely to stop.
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| "Congestion Is Here to Stay - You Might As Well Enjoy It,"
Innovation Briefs, Volume 10, Number 4 July- August 1999, pp. 1-2. (PDF 70 kb)
This article presents ten major trends likely to affect ground transportation in the early part of the 21st Century in America. It argues that rising population and vehicle usage will make increases in traffic congestion throughout the world virtually inevitable.
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| "How Is Suburban Sprawl Related to Urban Decline?,"
Unpublished Draft (PDF 13 kb)
This short article differentiates between the broad general urban development and growth process in U.S. metropolitan areas and suburban sprawl. It argues that the American growth process definitely aggravates urban decline but that suburban sprawl does not.
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| "How Securitization of Real Estate Finance Has Affected the 'Traditional' Real Estate Cycle," National Real Estate Investor, Volume 41, Number 2 February 1999, pp. 40-41. (PDF 15 kb)
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| A list of my earlier but important articles is set forth on page four of the web site, including their publication data. CLICK HERE
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